Domestic waste production is expected to reach 30 million tonnes in 2010- a real term growth of 11% compared with 2005.
The UK Waste Management Market Development Report published by Market & Business Development states that this is the area where the biggest increases will occur.
It suggests that while total UK waste arisings have reduced moderately between 2001 and 2005, the country is still producing a total of 596 million tonnes a year.
But with industrial waste predicted to decline by 3%, the growth in domestic waste production could be countered by a number of factors.
The report reads: “Growth levels are anticipated to slow down due to the reduced level of waste arising from packaging, but these effects are likely to be modest in the short term.
“It is also likely that consumers will increasingly look to the elimination of waste before it enters the disposal chain, with the primary driving forces being the recycling of packaging waste, and composting of putrescible wastes. However, financial incentives or penalties would be a major driving force, but these are likely to be difficult to sustain.”
In the commercial sector, waste generated is expected to remain at similar levels over the next few years rendering the initially anticipated ‘paperless office’ a myth.
Also, the volume of building and demolition waste is expected to increase moderately by 1%, reflecting buoyancy in the sector and the Government’s focus on developing on brownfield sites.
A major reaction to the landfill tax has been evident in this sector, with greater levels of inert waste being disposed of or recycled on site. This trend is unlikely to change with the expectation that the landfill tax will be continuously increased.